S&P Global Market Intelligence has released its latest forecast for Pakistan’s key economic indicators, projecting that inflation in the country is likely to remain at 5.1 percent in 2026.
The report further suggests that inflation could see a slight increase in 2027, rising to around 5.6 percent.
According to the forecast, Pakistan’s current account deficit may widen from 0.5 percent to 1.3 percent, indicating increased pressure on external accounts. The report also projects that Pakistan’s real gross domestic product growth will stand at 3.5 percent during fiscal year 2026, reflecting moderate economic improvement.
Advisor to the Ministry of Finance, Khurram Shehzad, stated that there is overall alignment between the forecasts issued by S&P Global and the State Bank of Pakistan, presenting a broadly consistent outlook for the country’s economic trajectory.
The State Bank of Pakistan has also projected inflation to remain between 5 and 7 percent over the next two years. According to the central bank, the current account deficit for the ongoing fiscal year is expected to range between 0 and 1 percent, while economic growth is forecast between 3.75 and 4.75 percent.
